8.04.2019
The danger is level 2 on the European five-level scale - MODERATE.
Main problem: weak layers, wind slab
Danger pattern: Cooling after warm weather / warming after frost
Risk assessment
Avalanche danger is mostly MODERATE, level 2, in the high mountains, and LOW, level 1, lower down. Steeper slopes above around 1800 m elevation are particularly dangerous, where a wind slab avalanche can be triggered by a minor snowpack overload - more deposits on south and west sides of ridges and saddles. New snow in the high mountains is also relatively poorly bonded to the base, so it can slab off on the weak layer on the old snow cover. Spontaneous slab avalanches are unlikely.
Snow conditions
The snowpack is mostly soft and powdery in the high mountains, wind has formed drifts, wind-exposed spots are scoured. Lower down, where it rained, the snow is soggy. As it is already fully transformed and settled, it mostly does not slide.
Forecast weather development
Today variable to mostly cloudy and foggy. Occasional local precipitation, snow line at elevation between 1600 and 1800 m. Weak to moderate easterly wind. Tomorrow initially some sun, during the day variable cloudiness and especially midday and afternoon local showers. Snow line slightly higher than today. Weak to moderate northeast wind. On Wednesday cloudy with occasional precipitation. Snow line dropping to around 1400 m above sea level. Weak to moderate easterly wind.
Trend in snow conditions
New snow will remain soft in the high mountains, slowly settling and transforming. Below around 1900 m it will transform and settle faster due to higher temperatures. The snowpack will gradually become more stable. On Wednesday new precipitation will mainly increase avalanche danger in the high mountains again, to what extent depending on the amount of new snow, which cannot yet be accurately forecasted.
Next issue: Wednesday, 10. 4. 2019
Source: ARSO