Weather, weather forecast, danger...
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| jedriličar10. 04. 2013 20:42:38 |
Guys, you slightly misunderstood my question. I'm less interested in whether and how ARSO is, more in whether you trust the Italians who constantly give one degree less than ARSO or not? And what do you think about the reliability of their bulletin, because if we compare it, say, with the Karawanks bulletin, there's a visible difference in the avalanche level, but I think on the terrain it's not quite like that. That's more interesting than how much and if ARSO failed...
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| Daaam10. 04. 2013 20:51:49 |
jedriličar: I seriously think the question could be addressed directly to ARSO? Answer (hope you get it) will surely be professional.. at least that's expected..
gp.arso@gov.si
that's my suggestion lp
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| Renato8011. 04. 2013 01:16:34 |
When I go to the mountains, I first check wetterzentrale prognostic models.
Here you can look at the weather in more detail for a few days, like temperature, amount of precipitation, thunderstorm chance, wind etc.
So I know what awaits me in the mountains
Page:
www.wetterzentrale.de
When you open wetterzentrale, go to GFS-ENS, then to GFS (on the left side) and find what interests you.
Most precise forecasts up to 4-5 days, the rest always changes, GFS maps go up to 15 days.
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| jedriličar19. 04. 2013 12:44:36 |
@Daaam: I sent a question to ARSO, but haven't received any reply by email ....
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| Daaam19. 04. 2013 13:43:21 |
Fuck... them ..I have another address maybe you'll have more luck
Klemen Volontar is president of the Avalanche Rescue Commission at GRZS and certainly an expert in the field (heard at a lecture) ..maybe he'll be more willing to reply.
http://www.volontar.net/
info@volontar.net
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| viharnik20. 04. 2013 08:12:51 |
In France at ski resort - La Rosiere - at Bernardo pass 2180m quite some April snow fell. It's also snowing in the valley before Val d'Isere in village Brevieres 1550m. Looks like winter swung its tail once more in the mountains.
http://www.larosiere.net/webcams.html
Brevieres 1550m, bottom picture, bottom left click on Square Val d'Isere, right Manchet valley 2000m.
http://www.val.co.uk/webcam.htm
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| Holcar220. 04. 2013 09:29:51 |
These precipitations are part of the same weather front which should hit our areas this weekend, but freezing level is currently still above Triglav, it should drop only to around 2200 m.
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| viharnik20. 04. 2013 10:05:30 |
Freezing level really around 2200m, snow precipitation forecasted to 1650m altitude, more precipitation on Monday daytime, so radishes and lettuce will get moisture to sprout.
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| Becar20. 04. 2013 10:48:53 |
Daaam, Jedriličar,
sending email to ARSO and expecting a timely updated reply is the same as catching a burglar now and sending email to police. Sad.
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| ljubitelj gora24. 04. 2013 14:13:20 |
Looks like avalanche release today, reports say mostly 1st degree.
 1 2
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| jedriličar24. 04. 2013 14:20:26 |
that's surely since yesterday afternoon, and I think I even saw it for the first time Monday evening. Problem is it doesn't show under all sun angles, so you think it's fresh, but it's not ....
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| Becar2. 05. 2013 08:45:45 |
Does it seem to anyone else that all the arsovci have been on vacation for the last week?
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| jedriličar6. 05. 2013 08:41:12 |
Here's the response from ARSO (received this morning):
Hello.
Apologies for the late reply, I was away.
Assessing avalanche danger is quite challenging. You can make multiple field observations, but conditions elsewhere, not far from the sites, can be different.
That's why avalanche reports, including Italian or Austrian ones, summarize the prevailing conditions.
Ours is particularly descriptive, though we try to cover as many differences across areas as possible. It happens that it snows more in the eastern Julian Alps, less in the west where they continue into Italy. In that case, we might rate higher danger for the Julians than in Italy. We can't pinpoint exactly where the boundary is, say from level 2 to level 3 danger.
Sometimes we raise the rating based on observed avalanches or an accident, which isn't fully objective but serves as a warning.
Hope I answered your question.
Best regards.
Andrej Velkavrh, Head of Snow and Avalanche Service
Maybe useful for future winters to better understand differences between bulletins...
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| Becar6. 05. 2013 09:13:54 |
Well now you got the reply after a month and good thing no avalanche got you in between 
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| capraibex24. 05. 2013 22:03:58 |
Also, it snowed in our neck of the woods, temperature at Ljubelj in the afternoon just 3 degrees.
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